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Mortality in Michigan: Inequalities by Age, Race, Sex, and County of Residence

By Nan E. Johnson


Department of Sociology
Michigan State University
East Lansing, Michigan 48824-1111

Michigan State University
Agricultural Experiment Station
East Lansing

Abstract

Vital registration data for 1985 were used to compute age-specific risks of death and average years of life remaining at a series of birthdays spanning the life cycle. Regardless of race, sex, or county of residence, infancy was the age group with the greatest risk of dying before middle age. Metro black males had the shortest life expectancy at birth (63.22 years) and white females residing in nonmetro-adjacent-to-metro counties had the longest (78.88 years), at least partly because the former had the highest homicide rates and the latter had the lowest. The shorter life expectancies of all metro blacks "crossed over" and exceeded those of metro whites at age 75 for men and 80 for women, since blacks at these advanced ages became less likely to die from heart diseases, cancers, and cerebrovascular diseases. While contrasts could not be made between metro and nonmetro blacks (due to their sparse numbers in the latter counties), whites had the longest life expectancies at almost all birthdays if they lived in nonmetro counties bordering metro counties.

(1)This bulletin is a research report for AES Project # No. 3283S on "Infant Mortality in Michigan." I thank Jean Kayitsinga for assistance in computer programming and Lawrence Busch for constructive commentary on an earlier draft. I obtained the enumeration of births and deaths according to age, sex, race, and county of residence in 1985 from the Michigan Department of Public Health. The mid-1985 population estimates by age, sex, race, and county were computed by Dr. Chingli Wang of the Department of Management and Budget.

Introduction

Most Americans will normally use what resources they can to prevent, or recover from, illness. But material and nonmaterial resources are not dispersed evenly in the population. Thus, differences in mortality reveal people's relative success in gaining those advantages that promote health or recovery.

Life span should be distinguished from longevity. Life span is the oldest age to which the human body can possibly survive under ideal conditions. Because ideal conditions never prevail at all times even for the most privileged people, life span cannot be measured directly. The most extreme estimate of the human life span proposed in the recent literature was the age beyond which only 0. 1 % of the population survived. From this definition, U.S. mortality rates of 1985 implied that the human life
span is 108 years (Wade, 1988).

Longevity is the actual rate of survival achieved by a population, given the risks of death it faces from external and internal causes. Examples of external (exogenous) causes of death are communicable diseases, homicides, and motor vehicle accidents; examples of internal (endogenous) causes are those associated with the breakdown of tissues: heart diseases, cancers, and cerebrovascular diseases. Since the vulnerability to external and internal causes of death varies with age, the actual average age at death in a population is a combined function of the separate probabilities of death at each age across the human life cycle. For newborns (at exact age 0 years), this average represents the life expectancy at birth, the most commonly used index of longevity for a population.

The current study used data from death certificates filed for residents of Michigan for 1985 to calculate the conditional probabilities of surviving to each age group and then dying within it. These age-specific risks of death were then used to compute an estimate of longevity: the average number of years of life remaining (life expectancy) for someone reaching an exact age x years. To illustrate how these averages varied by sex, race, and Michigan county of residence, the life expectancy at each exact age x years was calculated separately for these factors (see Appendix for details of the calculations). The variations occurred because the incidence of poverty differs by sex, race, and county of residence, because poverty blocks access to the health-care delivery system, and because the medical system itself is imperfect.

The sparseness of the population in many Michigan counties meant that some five-year age groups yielded no observations of deaths in 1985. Therefore, the 83 counties were grouped into three residential categories: the 23 metropolitan counties; the 18 nonmetropolitan counties adjacent to the metropolitan; and the 42 nonmetropolitan counties nonadjacent to the metropolitan.(2) These categorizations allocated 81 % of the 8,966,722 residents of Michigan in 1985 to the metropolitan counties. The other 19% of the population were almost evenly split between the nonmetro counties adjacent to the metro counties (9.53%) and the more remote nonmetro counties (9.47%).

(2)The county designations of "metro" and "nonmetro" are those established by the U.S. Bureau of the Census on June 30,1983, to reflect the results of the 1980 Census of Michigan.

Economic data from the 1980 Census of Michigan showed that these three residential groupings followed a gradient of declining per capita income and increasing percent of persons below the poverty line with remoteness from the metropolis (1979 per capita incomes were $7635 in metro counties, $6149 in adjacent nonmetro counties, and $5570 in nonadjacent nonmetro counties; the respective percentages below the poverty line were 10.13%,11.15%, and 12.52%; see U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1983: Tables 180 and 181). In 1980, the number of Doctors of Medicine (M.D.s) per 100,000 residents was greater in metro counties (159) than in the adjacent or more distant nonmetro counties (57 and 99, respectively).(3) While adjacent nonmetro counties also contained the lowest ratio of hospital beds per 100,000 residents (323), this ratio was highest in the more remote nonmetro counties (489) and intermediate in the metro counties (460). Consequently, these three classifications of Michigan counties represented meaningful and distinct clusters of economic advantage and availability of health care.

(3)The number of licensed M.D.9 was 11,791 in metro counties, 470 in adjacent nonmetro counties, and 821 in nonadjacent nonmetro counties in 1980 (Michigan Department of Public Health, 1980). To compute the ratio of physicians per 100,000 residents, the number of licensed M.D.s was divided by the 1980 Census count for that county type; and the quotient was multiplied by 100,000. The 1980 Census count was 7,399,212 people in the metro counties, 831,390 people in adjacent nonmetro counties, and 826,807 people in nonadjacent nonmetro counties (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1983).

Findings

Age

Age had a curvilinear effect on the probability of dying in Michigan. For example, for every 100,000 white males born to metropolitan mothers in 1985, about 1046 would probably die before the first birthday (Table 1A). Their probability of death would drop with the first birthday and reach a lifetime low of about 132 deaths per 100,000 white males reaching ages 5-9 years (Table 1A). At the tenth birthday, the probability of death would again rise but not surpass its level during infancy until ages 40- 44. These relationships highlight two important facts: that the risk of death before middle age is highest during infancy (age 0 years); and that ages 5-9 years are the safest for males in metropolitan counties of Michigan.

With a few important exceptions, these age patterns in the risk of death were repeated for white females, black males, and black females (Tables 1 A and 1B). One exception was that for metropolitan females. Their lowest risk of death was at ages 10-14, where 101 white females and 114 black females would die out of every 100,000 females of that racial group reaching age 1 0. The earlier "bottoming out" of the probability of dying in a particular age group for metro males (at ages 5-9) than metro females (at ages 10-14) showed that males were more likely than females to die in adolescence and young adulthood from such avoidable causes as homicide and motor vehicle accidents (National Center for Health Statistics, 1988a).

Secondly, for white male residents in Michigan, the age grouping with the lowest probability of dying was younger in metro counties (ages 5-9) than in nonmetro counties (ages 10-14) (cf. Tables 1A and 1B). Adolescent males were safer in nonmetro than in metro counties, for the rate of homicidal mortality was greatest in metro counties, intermediate in nonmetro counties nonadjacent to them, and lowest in nonmetro counties adjacent to metro counties (Table 3). As a result, the expectation of life at birth for white males was shortest in metro counties (71.65 years), intermediate in nonmetro counties nonadjacent to metro counties (71.78 years), and longest in nonmetro counties adjacent to metro counties (71.81 years) (Tables 2A and 2C). These differences in life expectancy at birth are very smart but nonetheless real: they cannot be attributed to sampling error since they are not based on a population sample.

Thirdly, black males had an earlier-than usual age group (ages 30-34) in which the probability of dying in adulthood surpassed the probability of dying in infancy. For every 100,000 black males born to metro Michigan mothers, 2680 would die in infancy. That risk of death would not be met or exceeded again until ages 30-34, whereat 3358 of every 100,000 black males turning 30 years old could expect to die before turning 35 years old (Table 1 A).

Black males face a much higher death rate from homicide than do white males, white females, or black females (48.4, 8.2, 2.9, and 11.0 murders per 100,000 people in that race/sex grouping, respectively, in 1985; National Center for Health Statistics, 1988a: Table 1-8) and witness its peak at ages 30-34 (94.7 murders per 100,000 black males aged 30-34; see National Center for Health Statistics, 1988a: Table 1-8). An analysis of black males' mortality could not be done for nonmetro Michigan counties due to the very small number of blacks living there. But certainly, the death rate from homicide is
much lower for all population subgroups in nonmetro Michigan (Table 3), since crimes against property are more common than crimes against persons in sparsely populated areas (Rogers et al., 1988).

Sex

After age, sex was the next most important risk factor for mortality in Michigan. Reasons given for the greater survival of females over males of the same age have been the protective effect of a female hormone, estrogen, and the lesser tendency of women to smoke tobacco (Epstein, 1965; Retherford, 1975). It is noteworthy that despite the social disadvantages of color, black females had a longer life expectancy at every age than did white males in metro Michigan counties (Table 2A).

The male disadvantage in survivorship varied by race. For example, within metropolitan counties, the "gender gap" in life expectancy at birth favored white females by 6.80 years (= 78.45 - 71.65) and black females by 9.91 years (= 73.13 - 63.99) (Table 2A). Obviously, black women residents of metro counties faced a higher risk of widowhood if they married black men of their same age or an older age.

One might expect that the gender gap would be narrowest in the nonmetro counties adjacent to metro counties, since these nonmetro counties have already been shown to have the longest life expectancies for males of all ages. Somewhat surprisingly, the gender gap in white mortality was widest in such counties (7.07 years = 78.88 - 71.81; see Table 2C). This relationship arose because white women benefited more than white men from the healthful advantages of fife in a nonmetro county adjacent to a metro county. As previously mentioned, life expectancies could not be computed for black residents of nonmetro counties due to their scarcity outside metro areas.

Race

The odds of an infant's death vary by its mother's marital status at birth and its sex (a child born to an unwed mother and a male child have greater odds of death in infancy). Yet the odds that a child will be born to an unwed mother are much greater if it is black than if it is male. Therefore, in infancy, race had a larger impact than sex on the mortality of Michigan residents in 1985. Among metro residents, black males had the greatest probability of death in infancy (2680 deaths per 100,000 live births), followed by black females (1769 deaths per 100,000 live births), white males (1046 deaths per 100,000 live births), and white females (777 deaths per 100,000 live births) (Table 1A).

Nevertheless, the detrimental impact of being black on life expectancy (unlike that of being male) wore off over the life cycle. Consider the life expectancies for residents of metro counties (Table 2A). Among metro males, whites had longer Life expectancies than blacks through age 69 years; at exact age 70, their Life expectancies became nearly identical (for white men, 11.25 more years of life; for black men, 11.17). At exact age 75 years, the life expectancy for black men "crossed over" to exceed that for white men. The life expectancies became almost equal for black and white metro women at the 75th birthday (11.69 and 11.71 more years for black and white women, respectively; Table 2A); and at the 80th birthday, the life expectancy for black metro women crossed over and exceeded that for white metro women. In the U.S. at large, black superiority for either men or women in the average number of remaining years of life is not reached until a later age: the 85th birthday (National Center for Health Statistics, 1988a: Table 6- 1).

The racial "crossover" from black inferiority to black superiority in life expectancy at advanced ages has been noted by other researchers. Nam et al.(1978) concluded that the greater social and economic hardships suffered by black people in early and middle age allow only blacks with the strongest constitutions to survive until old age but simultaneously permit white people with weaker constitutions to live so long. Manton (1980) seemed to agree when he wrote that elderly blacks are more likely to die from single causes; and elderly whites, from multiple chronic diseases. Put simply, white bodies are
more likely to wear out and die from multiple organ failures.

What causes of death can best explain the switchover from white superiority to black superiority in survivorship at older ages in Michigan (75 years for Michigan men and 80 for Michigan women)? The percentage of deaths from diseases of the heart and the cerebrovascular system change from lower to higher for whites than for blacks of both sexes on the 75th birthday (Table 4). Also, the percentage of deaths from breast cancer are lower for white Michigan women than for their black counterparts before age 55 and become higher for white Michigan women thereafter (Table 4). Notably, national rates of death from identifiable diseases in 1985 were greatest for heart diseases, cancers, and cerebrovascular diseases, in that order (National Center for Health Statistics, 1988a: Table 1-7).

County of Residence

At all birthdays along the life cycle, life expectancies for white males were longest in the nonmetro counties bordering on metro counties (Table 2C). The life expectancies for white males in the more distant nonmetro counties were superior to those of their metro counterparts only until the 30th birthday, at which, with two exceptions, the relationship was reversed (Tables 2A and 2C). The threat to survivorship of white males of prime laborforce ages in the remote nonmetro counties may
reflect, in part, the dangers of agricultural work, which has one of the highest occupational fatality rates due to the heavy farming equipment (Lansing State Journal, 1990). However, accidental on-the-job deaths to farmers can be only a small part of the story, since the rural farm population of Michigan represented only 6.5% of the state's rural population, according to the 1980 Census of Michigan. More important reasons why the life expectancies for middle-aged and elderly white males were shortest in the remote nonmetro counties were their high death rates from heart diseases, malignant neoplasms (cancers), and cerebrovascular diseases (Table 3). Since cardiac and cerebrovascular diseases usually remain chronic health threats after initial onset, preventive medical care is the most effective way to reduce mortality from these causes. However, the low per capita incomes and the high rate of poverty in the remote nonmetro counties obstruct the purchase of preventive
medical services.

Access to health care in the remote nonmetro counties has been hindered by the very federal laws meant to help the poor (Medicaid) and the elderly (Medicare).(4) When laws calling for Medicare and Medicaid were passed in the late 1960s, the plans were to reimburse hospitals and doctors on a fee-for-service basis. However, in 1983, Medicare started a Diagnostic Related Grouping (DRG) system in which hospitals were reimbursed a fixed payment according to the patient's diagnosis; and Medicaid shifted to a fixed reimbursement procedure in 1985. The systemic contradiction is that nonmetropolitan hospitals and physicians are now being reimbursed according to a lower pay scale than are metropolitan hospitals and physicians, although nonmetro people are more likely to be poor and less likely to have health insurance than metro people are (McManus and Newacheck, 1989). Also, the nonmetro poor are more likely than the metro poor to live in a married-couple household (Rural Nutrition and Health, 1989); and in Michigan, such households are automatically disqualified for Medicaid. Therefore, nonmetro residents in Michigan are less able to cover the fee for medical service by any means (Medicare/Medicaid reimbursement or health insurance).

(4) In 1985, the concentrations of white elderly Michiganian males (aged 65+ years) rose from 9.03% in metro counties to 10.35% in adjacent nonmetro counties to 13.53% in nonadjacent nonmetro counties; and this relationship was true, also, for white Michiganian females (13.27%,13.59%, and 17.23%, respectively).

An alternative to nonmetro poor and elderly people is to forego medical service except in emergencies. Indeed, the annual number of emergency visits per hospital has risen more sharply for nonmetro than metro hospitals in Michigan since 1983. Admissions per hospital have declined more sharply in nonmetro counties of Michigan not only because nonmetro people have a harder time paying for hospitalization but also because metro hospitals have lured some of them away (Stevens, 1989). Because these arrangements make curative rather than preventive medicine a higher priority for the poor and
the old, who disproportionately live in the remote nonmetro counties, the death rates from such ailments as heart diseases, cancers, and cerebrovascular diseases are much higher in the distant nonmetro counties (Table 3).

For at least two reasons, the life expectancies of whites in metro counties fell behind those in the adjacent nonmetro counties in almost all age groups. The rate of homicidal mortality was highest in metro Michigan counties (Table 3). Likewise, Mexican Americans tend to live in metro counties of the state and tend to have poorer survival rates than do other white people (Eberstein and Pol, 1982; U.S. Bureau of the- Census, 1982: Tables 23 and 51). Because Wayne County (of which Detroit is the county seat) had 31 % of the Mexican Americans in Michigan (according to the 1980 U.S. Census) and 70% of the homicides in the state in 1985, exclusion of Wayne County from the analysis should increase the life expectancies observed in the remaining metropolitan counties (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1982: Tables 23 and 51; National Center for Health Statistics, 1988b: Table 8-9). Indeed, after Wayne County was removed, the life expectancy at birth was highest for white males if they lived in one of the other 22 metro counties (72.20 years, Table 2B); and the life expectancy at birth for white
females (78.86 years, Table 2B) nearly matched that for white females in adjoining nonmetro counties (78.88 years, Table 2C). The life expectancy at birth for black males rose almost three years (from 63.22 years to 66.06 years) when Wayne County was excluded from the metropolitan group; and the life expectancy at birth for black females increased nearly one year (from 73.13 years to 74.11 years; compare Tables 2A and 29). Therefore, the reduction of life expectancies by homicide and inner-city poverty in Wayne County was most visibly the black population.

Motor vehicle fatalities were the only cause of death specified in Table 3 with highest rates for residents of the nonmetro counties adjacent to metro counties. A possible reason is that nonmetro residents may commute more regularly and farther to work and recreation if they five next to metro counties.

Conclusions

Longevity in Michigan should be judged from a national perspective. For the 81 majority of Michiganians living in metropolitan counties in 1985, the life expectancy at birth was one-quarter of a year shorter for white males and white females, 0.37 year shorter for black females, and 2.08 years shorter for black males than for the same race-sex grouping at the national level. An important reason for the longevity gap was a disproportionate exposure to inner-city poverty and homicide in Wayne County, of which Detroit is the county seat. Indeed the life expectancy at birth in the other 22 metro counties of Michigan was longer by 0.3 year for white males, 0.16 year for white females, 0.76 year for black males, and 0.61 year for black females than for the same race-sex grouping at the national level. Obviously, the reduction of crime against persons in Detroit would increase the longevity of metropolitan residents of the State of Michigan. While the data did not permit a distinction between whites with and without Mexican origins, it is likely that a disproportionate amount of premature mortality among whites in Wayne County occurred to Mexican Americans. Premature mortality among the poor residents of ghettos and barrios can be alleviated by liberalizing the qualifications for Medicaid, which is currently denied to households consisting of married couples or earning more than 60% of the income defining the poverty line. In addition, language barriers may impede communication between medical staff and those they serve, particularly when patients have very low levels of education or speak English poorly or not at all.

Another disadvantaged group was white males aged 30 or more in nonmetro counties nonadjacent to metro counties. These remote nonmetro counties had the highest rate of poverty and the lowest per capita income of the three sabers in the state. Ironically, the number of hospital beds per 100,000 residents was greatest in these remote nonmetro counties; and the number of M.D.s per 100,000 residents was much greater than for the nonmetro counties contiguous to metropolitan counties. However, the presence of a healthcare delivery system is insufficient to postpone mortality when people are too poor to purchase health care.

Appendix. Method of Estimating Longevity

In order to measure mortality in Michigan, the author used death and birth certificates to count these vital events by age, race, sex, and county of residence in the state in 1985. For all age groups above infancy, death rates were computed as the ratio of the number of deaths in a particular age-race-sex-county subgrouping to the mid-year population estimate for that same subgrouping. The death rates were then converted into probabilities of dying in the various age groups by means of the Barclay method (Barclay, 1958). For infants, the probability of dying before the first birthday was the infant mortality rate; i.e., the ratio of the number of infant deaths to the number of live births in that race-sex-county group in 1985. The probabilities of dying in various age groups between infancy (age 0 years) and 85+ years, inclusive, were then used to compute life tables by the Barclay method (Barclay, 1958). These fife tables gave the average number of additional years that could be expected by a hypothetical infant of a certain sex born to a mother having a certain race and type of residential county in Michigan, if that child faced all of the age- specific probabilities of death that prevailed in Michigan in 1985. These averages, which shall be called the "life expectancies at exact ages x," will hold true for the death rates prevailing in Michigan in 1985 do not change.

References

Barclay, George W. 1958 Techniques of Population Analysis. New York: John Wiley and Sons.

Eberstein, Isaac W., and Louis C. Pol 1982 "Mexican American Ethnicity, Socioeconomic Status, and Infant Mortality: A County-Level Analysis." Social Science Joumal 19: 61-71.

Epstein, E. 1965 "The epidemiology of coronary heart disease." Journal of Chronic Diseases 18:735-74.

Lansing State Journal 1990 "Farming: Country lifestyle far too hazardous." November 10: editorial page, Section A.

McManus, Margaret A., and Paul W. Newacheck 1989 "Rural Maternal, Child, and Adolescent Health." Health Services Research 23: 807-48.

Maintain, Kenneth G. 1980 "Sex and race specific mortality differentials in multiple cause of death data." The Gerontologist 20(4): 481-92.

Michigan Department of Public Health 1980 Michigan Cooperative Health Information System. Licensed Health Occupations: Michigan Physicians (M.D. and D.O.), 1980, Lansing.

Nam, Charles B., Norman L. Weatherby, and Kathleen A. Ockay 1978 "Causes of death which contribute to the mortality crossover effect." Social Biology 25: 306-14.

National Center for Health Statistics 1988a Vital Statistics of the United States, 1985. Volume 11. Mortality. Part A. Section 1, General Mortality. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.

1988b Vital Statistics of the United States, 1985. Volume II. Mortality. Part B. Section 8, Geographical Detail of Mortality. Washington, DC: U. S. Government Printing Office.

Retherford, R. D. 1975 The Changing Sex Differentials in Mortality. Westport: Greenwood Press.

Rogers, Everett M., Rabel J. Burdge, Peter F. Korsching, and Joseph F. Donnermeyer 1988 Social Change in Rural Societies. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, third edition.

Rural Nutrition and Health Update 1989 "Rural Poor's Profile Differs from Urban Poor." Volume 1, no. 1, page 1.

Stevens, Robert D. 1989 Shifts in Hospital Services and Resource Use to Metropolitan Areas in Michigan and East North Central States. Agricultural Economic- Report No. 526, Michigan State University.

U.S. Bureau of the Census 1982 1980 Census of Population. Volume 1, Characteristics of the Population. Chapter B. General Population Characteristics. Part 24, Michigan. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.

1983 1980 Census of Population. Volume 1, Characteristics of the Population. Chapter C. General Social and Economic Characteristics. Part 24, Michigan. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.

Wade, A. H. 1988 "United States life table functions and actuarial functions based on alternative 11 mortality probabilities used." Washington, DC: Social Security Administration.

Table 1 A.
Probability of Death by Age, Sex, and Race for Residents of Metro Counties in Michigan, 1985.

Age on Last       Whites              Blacks                
Birthday                                                    
(in yrs.)   Males       Females   Males         Females     
0        0.01046       0.00777   0.02680        0.01769     
1-4       .00261        .00131    .00298         .00299     
5-9       .00132        .00111    .00192         .00116     
10-14     .00185        .00101    .00259         .00114     
15-19     .00511        .00234    .01307         .00304     
20-24     .00695        .00241    .01682         .00537     
25-29     .00617        .00238    .02172         .00762     
30-34     .00749        .00313    .03358         .01288     
35-39     .00919        .00509    .03641         .01351     
40-44     .01382        .00762    .04713         .02024     
45-49     .02247        .01315    .05908         .02903     
50-54     .03820        .01961    .07221         .03783     
55-59     .06112        .03637    .09775         .06081     
60-64     .09958        .05905    .14190         .09029     
65-69     .14726        .08201    .18585         .11556     
70-74     .22095        .12429    .27070         .15140     
75-79     .31726        .19100    .34096         .22617     
80-84     .45082        .30551    .43816         .34853     
85 +     1.00000       1.00000   1.00000        1.00000     

Table 1B.
Probability of Death for White Nonmetropolitan Residents of Michigan by Age, Sex, and Proximity to Metropolitan Counties, 1985.

Age on Last    Nonmetro Counties       Nonmetro Counties    
Birthday       Adjacent to Metro       Nonadjacent to       
(in yrs.)      Counties                Metro Counties       
            Males       Females       Males       Females   
0         0.01200       0.00908      0.00836      0.00959   
1-4        .00252        .00221       .00380       .00144   
5-9        .00201        .00120       .00127       .00186   
10-14      .00110        .00134       .00105       .00084   
15-19      .00356        .00261       .00630       .00300   
20-24      .01176        .00277       .00675       .00197   
25-29      .00822        .00263       .00434       .00289   
30-34      .00515        .00380       .00742       .00320   
35-39      .00925        .00378       .00959       .00452   
40-44      .01275        .00643       .01111       .00738   
45-49      .02144        .01199       .02348       .01196   
50-54      .03654        .01935       .03929       .02166   
55-59      .06545        .03767       .06391       .03118   
60-64      .09034        .04957       .09413       .04999   
65-69      .13531        .07778       .14000       .07645   
70-74      .21581        .11306       .21740       .11778   
75-79      .29246        .18370       .33306       .19788   
80-84      .45232        .26995       .47905       .27450   
85 +      1.00000       1.00000       1.00000     1.00000   

Table 2A.
Expected Years of Life Remaining by Exact Age, Sex, and Race to Residents of Metro Counties in Michigan, 1985.

Exact Age on     Whites                     Blacks          
Birthday    Males       Females       Males      Females    
(in yrs.)                                                   
0           71.65       78.45         63.22       73.13     
1           71.40       78.06         63.96       73.44     
5           67.58       74.16         60.14       69.66     
10          62.67       69.24         55.25       64.74     
15          57.78       64.31         50.39       59.81     
20          53.06       59.45         46.02       54.98     
25          48.42       54.59         41.77       50.27     
30          43.70       49.71         37.64       45.63     
35          39.01       44.86         33.86       41.20     
40          34.35       40.08         30.05       36.73     
45          29.80       35.37         26.41       32.43     
50          25.43       30.81         22.91       28.33     
55          21.34       26.37         19.50       24.34     
60          17.56       22.27         16.34       20.76     
65          14.23       18.51         13.63       17.57     
70          11.25       14.95         11.17       14.54     
75           8.73       11.71          9.39       11.69     
80           6.63        8.89          7.95        9.37     
85           5.02        6.70          7.20        8.05     

Table 2B.
Expected Years of Life Remaining by Exact Age, Sex, and Race to Residents of Metro Counties in Michigan Excluding Wayne County, 1985.

Exact Age on     Whites                Blacks               
Birthday                                                    
(in yrs.)    Males     Females     Males       Females      
0           72.20       78.86      66.06         74.11      
1           71.95       78.48      66.68         74.63      
5           68.14       74.59      62.96         70.79      
10          63.22       69.67      58.10         65.87      
15          58.33       64.74      53.25         60.95      
20          53.61       59.89      48.59         56.05      
25          48.97       55.01      44.19         51.27      
30          44.24       50.11      39.85         46.55      
35          39.53       45.25      35.37         41.92      
40          34.82       40.45      31.07         37.35      
45          30.23       35.72      27.01         32.92      
50          25.82       31.15      23.19         28.62      
55          21.70       26.71      19.38         24.51      
60          17.87       22.57      16.01         21.07      
65          14.50       18.78      13.43         17.86      
70          11.43       15.17      10.85         15.01      
75           8.83       11.90       9.03         12.09      
80           6.77        9.01       7.19          9.04      
85           5.11        6.79       5.79          7.54      

Table 2C.
Expected Years of Life Remaining to White Nonmetro Residents of Michigan by Exact Age, Sex, and Proximity to Metropolitan Counties, 1985.

Exact Age on  Nonmetro Counties       Nonmetro Counties     
Birthday      Adjacent to Metro       Nonadjacent to        
(in yrs.)     Counties                Metro Counties        
         Males       Females     Males       Females        
0        71.81       78.88       71.78       78.61          
1        71.68       78.60       71.38       78.37          
5        67.85       74.77       67.64       74.48          
10       62.99       69.86       62.73       69.62          
15       58.05       64.95       57.79       64.67          
20       53.25       60.11       53.14       59.86          
25       48.86       55.27       48.48       54.97          
30       44.24       50.41       43.68       50.12          
35       39.46       45.59       38.99       45.28          
40       34.80       40.75       34.35       40.47          
45       30.22       36.00       29.70       35.75          
50       25.83       31.41       25.36       31.16          
55       21.71       26.98       21.29       26.79          
60       18.06       22.94       17.57       22.57          
65       14.60       19.00       14.14       18.63          
70       11.49       15.40       11.04       14.96          
75        8.97       12.04        8.41       11.63          
80        6.64        9.19        6.36        8.88          
85        5.06        6.66        4.91        6.29          

Table 3.
Number of Deaths and Rates (per 100,000 people in a specified county group) in Michigan, 1985 by County Type and Selected Causes.

County       Homicide       Heart       Cancers             
Type                        Diseases                        

Metro (N = 7,262,316 people)                                
Deaths       1,030          24,219       13,565             
Rates        14.18          333.49       186.79             
Nonmetro adjacent to metro (N = 854,838 people)             
Deaths       15             2,818        1,647              
Rates       1.75           329.65       192.67              
Nonmetro nonadjacent to metro (N = 849,568 people)          
Deaths       22             3,613        2,094              
Rates       2.59           425.27       246.48              
All counties (N = 8,966,722 people)                         
Deaths     1,067           30,650       17,306              
Rates      11.90           341.82       193.00              
County      Cerebrovas-       Motor       All other         
Type        cular             Vehicle       causes          
Metro (N = 7,262,316 people)                                
Deaths      4,270             1,272       17,772            
Rates       58.80             17.52       244.72            
Nonmetro adjacent to metro (N = 854,838 people)             
Deaths      564                 235         2132            
Rates       65.98             27.49       249.40            
Nonmetro nonadjacent to metro (N = 849,568 people)          
Deaths      702                 177        2,575            
Rates       82.63             20.83       303.10            
All counties (N = 8,966,722 people)                         
Deaths      5,536             1,684       22,479            
Rates       61.74             18.78       250.69            

Note: Frequencies of deaths by county type and cause were computed from county tabulations in Table 8-9 of Vital "Statistics of the United States. 1985." Volume D Mortality. "Part B. Section" 8 (National Center for Health Statistics, 1988). Population estimates by county type were computed from county estimates from the Department of Management and Budget, State of Michigan.

Table 4.
Number and Percentage of Deaths to Michigan Residents in 1985 by Race, Sex, Selected Causes, and Age at Death.

                        Age at Death (Yrs.)                 
Race-Sex  Total  45 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85 + Group Heart Diseases 
White Males                                                 
No.      14,041   396    895   2,464   3,950  4,008 2,328   
o/o         100   2.8    6.4    17.6    28.1   28.5  16.6   
White Females                                               
No.      13,024   153    247   1,010   2,447  4,375 4,792   
o/o         100   1.1    1.9     7.8    18.8   33.6  36.8   
Black Males                                                 
No.       1,861   155    180     388     554    418   166   
o/o         100   8.3    9.7    20.8    29.8   22.5   8.9   
Black Females                                               
No.       1,646    71     93     265     385    484   348   
o/o         100   4.3    5.7    16.1    23.4   29.4  21.1   
                       Breast Cancer                        
White Females                                               
No.       1,333   113    177     347     329    250   117   
o/o       100.1   8.5   13.3    26.0    24.7   18.8   8.8   
Black Females                                               
No.         178    30     33      46      32     28     9   
o/o         100  16.9   18.5    25.8    18.0   15.7   5.1   
                    Cerebrovascular Diseases                
White Males                                                 
No.       1,959    53     61     188     519    735   403   
o/o         100   2.7    3.1     9.6    26.5   37.5  20.6   
White Females                                               
No.       2,871    50     47     184     455    953 1,182   
o/o        99.9   1.7    1.6     6.4    15.8   33.2  41.2   
Black Males                                                 
No.         295    34     33      65      79     59    25   
o/o         100  11.5   11.2    22.0    26.8   20.0   8.5   
Black Females                                               
No.         391    28     29      49      96    114    75   
o/o       100.1   7.2    7.4    12.5    24.6   29.2  19.2   

Note: Computed by author from Table 8-6 "in Vital Statistics of the United States, 1985. Volume 11 Mortality. Part B, Section 8" (National Center for Health Statistics, 1988). Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding errors.

 

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